Learn · the public record

How we grade
in public.

Every level SPECTRE publishes is set in advance and timestamped. On the graded instruments each one is then scored against what the tape actually did; GC's levels are published but not graded, and golden areas get no per-line score (see below). This page describes the scoring exactly as it is computed — the tests, the thresholds and the limits — so you can judge the record rather than take our word for it.

01 — THE REACTION TESTDid the level produce a move?

A level is scored on intraday bars for the session it serves — the regular trading hours for futures, and for crypto the hours that board was live on the site, from the moment it was published until the next board replaced it — not on a single end-of-day close. A level counts as reacted if, after price first tagged it, the market moved at least 0.25% in the level's favour at any point in that session (up off a support, down off a resistance).

The reaction rate is simply reacted touches divided by total touches, computed the same way for every family, so the families are directly comparable. A touch whose own bar also reaches the 0.25% counts as neither: one bar can't show which came first, so it is left out of both sides of the rate, the same bar rule our trade-idea grading uses. That is the headline number on the coverage panel. It is a reaction measure, not a trade result.

Why not a symmetric test for the headline
A symmetric race — "does price reach +x before -x?" — is about a coin flip by construction, so it says little about a level. The reaction test measures something the level actually did, which is why it is the number we publish.

02 — THE PER-LINE SCORECARDWhich lines to trust

Reaction rate is honest but blunt: within one instrument the families look similar. So we also grade every individual line with a symmetric 1:1 test — ±0.25% — and rank the lines best to worst per instrument. Only decided touches count: if a session's bar range decides a winner in either direction off the line, it is a win or a loss; if neither side ever moves the full 0.25%, the touch is excluded rather than scored as a loss.

A line needs at least 80 decided touches before it is published in the scorecard. Where a line qualifies, its measured percent (an integer, no decimals) is shown beside the level in the terminal — and it is public, so a free member sees it on the levels they can see. The laggards are shown alongside the leaders on purpose.

03 — THE SAMPLEWhere the history comes from

The structure families — pivots, value areas, VWAP, prior periods, opening range and SMC — are deterministic from price and volume history, so we can recompute exactly what the board would have shown on any past session and score it on the session it served. With no look-ahead, that turns a few weeks of published sessions into a longer graded history, measured the same way as the live numbers. The scorecard's figures cover the trailing year of it by default. That backfill is for futures only: a crypto level is graded only on the hours its board was live on the site, so crypto history starts with the first board we published, in September 2026, and grows by one session a day. A crypto board's window runs about a day, a futures board's one regular session of about 6.5 hours, so the two rates are not comparable.

Gamma is different. The option-chain history behind the flip and the walls is much shorter, so the deep backfill does not cover it — the live scorer owns the gamma categories, over the window it has. A wall or flip the session never reached is shown as not reached and left out of every hold rate. And golden levels, the confluence constructs re-derived each session, are not given a per-line score: a per-type score on a level that changes every session would be meaningless.

04 — WHAT WE DO NOT CLAIMA reaction rate, no P&L

Read the full methodology, see the public record on the track-record panel, or start with what gamma levels are.

See today's free sample Read the methodology